New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Prediction, Preview, and Odds

A pair of AFC East rivals take the field as they close their regular season series on the gridiron up in Foxborough. The New York Jets are on the road as they make the trip to face the New England Patriots Sunday afternoon. New York comes in off a bye last week: they beat Buffalo 20-17 at home, winning outright as an 11-point underdog, in their most recent contest on November 6. New England had the bye last week as well: they drubbed Indianapolis 26-3 at home back on November 6, easily covering the five-point line. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Patriots own a 70-53-1 advantage and have won the last 13 meetings. That includes a 22-17 road win in the first matchup this season on October 30, where they covered the line as a three-point favorite.

New York Jets Hoping to Beat Patriots for First Time in Almost Seven Years

New York found a way to surprise Buffalo at home in their previous game, boosting their record to 6-3 on the year and putting them tied for second in the AFC East. The Jets now look to take down the Patriots for the first time since a 26-20 home win on December 27, 2015. They haven’t won a regular season game in Foxborough since November 13, 2008, though they did win a playoff game there in January 2011. Against Buffalo, New York trailed 7-3 after one quarter and 14-3 late in the first half before scoring with 32 seconds to play in the half to make it a four-point game. With the game tied in the fourth quarter, the Jets went 86 yards in 13 plays, leading to Greg Zuerlein’s 28-yard field goal with 1:43 to play. New York’s defense stepped up and stopped the Bills on their ensuing drive to earn the win. The Jets were edged 317-310 in total offense although they did hold a 21-19 advantage in first downs, a 32:44 to 27:16 edge in time of possession and won the turnover battle 2-1 in the victory.

On the year, the Jets are 19th in the league in passing offense as they average 219 yards per game through the air. The team is 18th in the league in rushing offense as they put up an average of 116 yards per contest. New York is 19th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 21.8 points per game. The Jets are 10th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 19.6 points per contest. Zach Wilson is 96 of 167 passing for 1,202 yards with four touchdowns against five interceptions. He has been sacked 12 times while adding 68 yards and a score on the ground. Joe Flacco has completed 91 of 155 passes for 901 yards with five touchdowns against three interceptions while getting sacked nine times. Punter Braden Mann completed his lone pass attempt for 17 yards. Michael Carter is second on the team on the ground for the Jets as he has 85 carries for 330 yards plus three scores this season. Breece Hall contributed 80 carries for 463 yards and four scores in his part of the timeshare before being lost to a torn ACL against the Broncos on October 23. James Robinson (18 carries, 65 yards) has to step up to replace Hall’s production. In the passing game, rookie Garrett Wilson leads the team with 42 catches for 521 yards plus two scores. Corey Davis (19 receptions, 351 yards, two TD), Tyler Conklin (33 catches, 316 yards, three TD), Elijah Moore (16 receptions, 203 yards) and Hall (19 grabs, 218 yards, TD) have all gone over the 200-yard mark in receiving yards. Greg Zuerlein is 20 of 21 on extra point attempts and 16 of 19 on field goal attempts with a long of 57 this season.

The Jets had a short list on the injury report Thursday, as one would expect coming after the bye. Wide receiver Corey Davis (knee), guard Nate Herbig (shin) and defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins (elbow) all did not practice. Meanwhile, tackle Duane Brown (shoulder) was limited in practice. Watch for updates on their respective statuses going towards the weekend.

New England Patriots Seeking to Maintain Surge

Before the bye, the Patriots improved to 5-4 on the season with an easy 26-3 win over the Colts, although they are still in the basement of the AFC East standings. Against Indianapolis, New England led 13-0 at the half and completely stifled the Colts’ offense en route to the victory. The Patriots held a 203-121 edge in total offense, picked up 11 first downs while allowing eight and held a 31:06 to 28:54 advantage in time of possession. Both teams turned the ball over once in the game. New England scored on a pick-six, sacked Sam Ehlinger nine times and blocked a punt to set up the offense at the Colts’ two-yard line.

The Patriots enter week 11 ranked 23rd in the league in passing offense as they average 202.7 yards per game through the air. New England is 17th in the league in rushing offense with an average of 117.2 yards per contest on the ground. The Patriots are 14th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 22.6 points per game. New England is 6th in scoring defense as they allow 18.4 points per contest. Mac Jones is 111 of 168 passing for 1,140 yards with four touchdowns and seven interceptions on the year. He’s been sacked 15 times for 86 yards in losses while adding 78 yards plus a score on the ground. Bailey Zappe is 65 of 92 for 781 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions while Brian Hoyer is five of six for 37 yards. Damien Harris is part of the timeshare in the ground game with 71 carries for 302 yards and three scores on the year while Rhamondre Stevenson has 618 yards on 129 carries and four TDs. Jakobi Meyers leads the team with 40 receptions for 452 yards and three touchdowns this season. DeVante Parker (15 catches, 321 yards, TD), Nelson Agholor (15 catches, 227 yards, TD), tight end Hunter Henry (19 grabs, 240 yards, TD) and Stevenson (35 catches, 227 yards, TD) are all over the 225-yard mark in receiving yards. Nick Folk is 20 of 20 on extra point attempts and 19 of 21 on field goal attempts with a long of 52 this season.

New England had several players on the injury report Thursday. Defensive end DeMarcus Mitchell (illness) did not practice. Meanwhile, punter Jake Bailey (back), defensive tackle Christian Barmore (knee), linebackers Josh Uche (hamstring) along with Anfernee Jennings (back), wide receiver DeVante Parker (knee) and safety Kyle Dugger (ankle) were all limited in practice. . Watch for any new information about their statuses leading up to kickoff.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This game is going to be another tough one for the Jets. When the teams met three weeks ago, Bill Belichick’s defense forced Wilson into three interceptions while holding him to 20 of 41 passing in the game. Sure, he threw for 355 yards but three turnovers and the lack of a running game (15 carries for 51 yards) proved to be their undoing in the contest. New England has seemingly found itself after a slow start to the year as their defense has carried them despite the struggles that Jones has had under center. Playing in Foxborough should just add another layer to the Jets’ misery here. Give the points and take the Patriots as they find a way to sweep the season series for the seventh straight year.

Prediction: New England Patriots -3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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New York has stayed under the total in six of their nine games this season. The Jets have split their four games on the road this season in relation to the total with two straight unders after starting the year with a pair of overs. New England has seen the under hit in five of their nine games on the year. The Patriots have split their four home games in relation to the total this season after staying well under the mark against the Colts in their previous contest. We’ve seen the under hit in six of the last 10 meetings between the teams, including the first matchup this season when they combined for 39 points to just fall short of the 39.5-point number. This game doesn’t generate any more offense and as a result, look for the under to hit here.

Prediction: Under 38

Written By
Chris King , “Chris King”

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it’s playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he’s checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO. If it’s out there, he’s covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career. Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He’s written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you’re looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.

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